Experts and market participants recognize that the demand for nizkooktan every year decline, but evince fears of meeting the full needs of the East-Ukrainian farmers, because last week was imposed a temporary moratorium on the export of Kazakh oil. But, on the other hand, it could open the market for the supply of Turkmenistan, which has always sought to be represented on our market.
Lisichanskiy refinery ceased production of gasoline A-80 in July, while increasing the proportion of A-92 and A-95 in its product basket. This decision is associated with low economic efficiency of production of such fuel, weak, and every year one third of declining demand for it, - explains, TNK-BP Commerce Dmitry Zverev.
According to the company, if in 2007 the consumption of nizkooktana was about 1 050 thousand tons, in 2008 for 700 tons and is projected in 2009 will total only about 450 thousand tons Accordingly, almost double, according to the consulting group A-95, reduced the release of this brand of fuel our factories: 540 thousand tons in 2008 against 1 005 tons in 2007, and continue to cut back — 232, 2 thousand tons for 8 months of this year.
In addition, the company's decision reasoned another circumstance. LINIK until recently was the only Ukrainian manufacturer of gasoline A-80 (rather than A-76, issuance of which is adjusted for other Ukrainian oil refinery) - that is nizkooktana to reserve quality, which in turn is the preferred basis for hand-made high-octane gasoline. In other words, stopping the production, factory workers hoping thereby cooled ardor unscrupulous operators.
However Lisichanskiy nizkooktan oriented and East Ukrainian farmers during the harvesting experience some discomfort with the fuel provision: There are a few signals a lack of satisfying the demand of the regions of Eastern Ukraine from farmers who used to procure the necessary amount of nizkooktana from a local plant - analyst UPECO Gennady cobalt. However, this circumstance, as well as expectations of a moratorium on the export of petroleum products, is revived nizkooktana supplies from Kazakhstan. According UPECO, only for August, traders had imported more than 7 tons of Kazakh product.
For comparison: the total in Ukraine for 7 months imported 64.3 thousand tons nizkooktana. But the decision of the Kazakh government, taken last week, suggests some concerns about the security experts to Ukraine due to this trend: Kazakhstan's farmers themselves faced with shortages of gasoline brands A-80 during the harvest season and because of that country's borders for the export of gasoline will be closed down until 31 December. We do not plan to resume production of A-80. In this niche product, our factory was not a key player: the beginning of this year we made less than 14 tons of eighty. Capacities of other refineries allow a margin to cover the existing demand for this fuel - confident in TNK-BP Commerce .- In addition, the company imports necessary for the network and partners volumes of low-octane fuel from Belarus.
Recall that this trend is the leader in the supply nizkooktana from abroad: last month of our northern border crossed almost 11 thousand tons of petroleum products of this brand. If there is demand, supply may establish another country - an exporter of petroleum products - Turkmenistan, which has long been interested in entering our market, but so far the import from this direction on the route of the river-sea even though he was represented by more or less weighty parties (in particularly in summer), but did not have a systemic nature.
Example LINIK in the next year, followed by the other refineries. If the authorities do not go towards postponing the transition to new fuel standards, less than a year and a half low-octane fuel must disappear from the gas stations. Recall that the transition to the Euro-4 standards must occur with the start of 2011
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