Bankers allow the devaluation of hryvnia to 1,35-1,85 UAH /USD to 9-9,5 UAH /USD fall. This option (the devaluation of hryvnia rate on the non-cash market to a level 9 UAH /USD) is not excluded. A number of factors that can prevent this phenomenon, and it may provoke, - said the first deputy chairman of the Board Vyacheslav Yutkin.

According to him, the first factor that will influence the currency market, it is how successful will be the restructuring of corporate debt owed to external creditors, which (in arrears) on the most conservative estimate, is around 12 billion dollars.

If rassrochit and restructure the debt is, of course, the risk of devaluation of hryvnia will be overcome, - added the banker.

very important factor that will influence the currency market, also is reviving the economy.

Head of Treasury Industrialbank Alexander Fomin believes that the fall could be quite a difficult period for the hryvnia.

Although the devaluation of hryvnia has had some positive impact on the balance of export and import operations with the country beginning this year, and some of the NBU objectively contributed to increased offer in the foreign exchange market and reducing the demand for currency, to be quite difficult to solve issues associated with the return of corporate debt in the current year, as well as payment for critical imports.

Fomin also added that since the proposal for the restructuring of much of corporate debt could cause a negative reaction of Western creditors of Ukraine, as well as taking into account the payment of energy in preparation for the autumn-winter on a relatively large amount of currency, you can suggest that the growth in demand for the currency, while maintaining low-level operations in the major export-oriented industries will lead to a devaluation of the currency.

Financial Market Expert, Eric Naiman, notes that at the moment, it is likely that devalue the hryvnia fall.

While there are reasons (that hryvnia fall devalue against the U.S.) because it shows that the budget problem and collect no sources with emission covering the budget deficit. Prognoz IMF (8,68 UAH /USD in 2009) is not the last instance, so you should talk about more than real values. I think that we will reach a peak, which was at the beginning of the crisis, the level of 9,5-10 grn /dollar, - he said.

Much will also depend on inflation.

expert believes that now is the appropriate level of 6,5 UAH /USD, but it is not objective in terms of economics.
If

will be inflation, but cheaper hryvnia increases inflation through imported goods, then the appropriate goal to be at the level 7,20-7,50 grn /dollar, which will certainly come back after the hryvnia devaluation.

As reported, hryvnia rate on the interbank currency market after the decline on Wednesday at 1 kop. Thursday will remain at 7.65 UAH /USD.

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