The most important factor in national currency and the banks is a sequence of actions and statements of the NBU and the government. In this case, the choice of strategy was not essential. In addition it is important to the adoption of the state budget of the current realities. It is in the budget plane is the main threat to monetary and macroeconomic stability , - the expert said in the commentary BUSINESS .

With regard to the outflow of bank deposits in September of 1.2 billion UAH, that, given the excess liquidity in most financial establishments in the moment, it is not critical for the banking system, believes gestation. The banks have now problems with balance, rather than liquidity. That is because of the cancellation of bad loans, most banks' liabilities, the amount may exceed the volume of assets. At the same time, the outflow of deposits does not reduce the bank's own capital, as the Bank shall have the same amount of assets and liabilities , - emphasizes the analyst.

If the hryvnia will remain stable, stop the run on deposits this year, according to gestation. At the same time, most large banks have an adequate supply of liquidity to withstand a slight outflow of deposits, he said. Most likely the situation with the deposits will not be decisive in the coming months for the banking system, says expert.

According to Andrei gestation, talking about the economy as a whole, the bottom was covered in the spring of 2009. However, some sectors continue to decline. In particular the banking sector, the volume of assets which will fall to the middle of 2010.

expert predicts GDP growth of 4.5% in 2010 due to export-oriented industry and agriculture.

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