Before the presidential election is about a half, and the main parties have already decided the race. Over all, on hearing the three most rating the candidate and retaining the technical impact of the president. But their list is not limited to - in the bulletin will людно.
One of the benefits of prevailing in the Ukrainian politicum pluralism (which some skeptics believe bacchanalia prefer) is the potential breadth of choice. Including - and the apparent presidents. And let Masthead, campaigners: power, opposition antagonists (or partners - as a look here), Yulia Tymoshenko and Viktor Yanukovych, the young so early Hope Arsenii Yatseniuk and maloreytingovy but administratively influential Viktor Yushchenko - has long been known, voters will not go nonconformists of booths offended. Lines on the ballot will be a lot.
Experts predict
15-20 points, expressive policies (like not so long ago advocated byutovets Andrei Portnov) and the fear is epidemic - and five dozen Olympians who want to participate. And despite the familiar rhetoric of veteran politicians, not all minority race participants can immediately write down the technical candidates. Of course, the list will be well represented placemen rival headquarters, the task which can range from fair (by grazing in a foreign electoral field) and unfair (the practice of using, for example, sign однофамильцев participants) prior to weaning votes plum compromising.
But independent and polusamostoyatelnyh politicians decisive own objectives, too will be done. About the most notable of them, already have indicated their willingness to participate in the race five - below.
on duty aksakals
Any attempt to divide a hypothetical sheet with functional groups, by and large, very conventional. In the first place - because of the need to simultaneously take into account many factors (the base of which - the ideological spirit of the image, the standard ways to achieve goals, support), does not always work well to group participants in the race for one or two main grounds. Nevertheless, in most cases, independent and polutehnicheskih (ie, untwisted politicians may be on their own or a directive from above parasite in someone else's niche) can be roughly divided into three main groups. And first among them - the elders, to take part in elections which binds in the first place position - not even so much the party, but personal.
Today, the most striking are the elders campaign Volodymyr Lytvyn, and perhaps Petr Simonenko. Each of them, unlike the vast majority of figures review, is a happy owner of a relatively decent rate - from 3 to 5 percent of estimated different organizations. And each of them practically obliged to take part in the elections: and to support their own image, and to mobilize potential voters.
Judging by the increasing incidence of the presence of mediaprostranstve, with the closing session, Volodymyr Lytvyn to seriously take up the pre-image of sculpture - not even leave the Speaker shall not simply, as running. The main task of each occurrence of Vladimir Mikhailovich in the live - once again remind voters who want a country in a situation where all the rest simply do not care for the people. The emphasis, as always, is on the image, if not the golden share (in principle, every candidate inspired tells how he would make life better tomorrow), then for sure - the third force. Uspekhi Volodymyr Lytvyn on this course. Help - antireyting relatively low, the ability to deliver a convincing, in fact, banal truth, and perhaps appeal to those voters who want to update the layout for which Arsenii Yatseniuk too dark horse. This desire to please everyone (ie, the absence of tight niches), as well as what is actually new wave policy kuchmovskoy quenching (just this factor, coupled with the development of the case of Gongadze Vladimir may have auknutsya) call is extremely difficult, it not easily headed the Verkhovna Rada jump above the notorious five percent of collecting, mostly non-voting opponents, but tired and doubting.
Unlike neighbor rated Petro Symonenko can count on the support of a proven standard electorate. All the same language (even a little bit and save the country from the oligarchic-capitalist power will be too late), a lively crisis all the same sympathoadrenal, vzbodrennye slight hint of revenge, a miracle, probably will not provide. But a reminder that the communists are still early into account may withdraw convincing.
truth, without special campaign and can not do. On the one hand, a recently Peter somewhat vilified his campaign appearance vysokomoralny left. On the other - with a loud party homogeneity after a conflict with influential non-poor in the red votes Crimea Leonid Grachov case too, the situation is not too brilliant. On the third - remains intriguing about the single candidate of the leftist forces, which is due to the discipline of the electorate really could show a good result. It is obvious that Peter Simonenko this post would take a great success, than anybody else - just because a credible presidential rating. But to believe in the efforts on this flank complicated - will have to rely on its own.
Finally, the third indispensable starozakalennym campaign had the chance to prove Alexander Moroz. However, recently announced that he was prepared to abandon its ambitions in favor of Peter Simonenko.
future parties
As representatives of the previous group, figures the second part of the list to participate in elections, too, requires the provision, and the same - the party. But if no elders and the holiday - not a holiday, the young politicians participated in the election - it purely voluntary.
most compelling players of the wing (in addition to a successful Arseny Yatsenyuk) are, perhaps, Anatoly Gritsenko and Sergei Tigipko. Since the rating of each of them is located in the vicinity of the bottom line of statistical error, the persuasive speech to the competition it does not go. But some useful part in the elections, of course, will - for the months of the campaign to each of these politicians need to have time to form a compelling image and a set of standard message with a view to the future parliament, which could prove to them favorably.
and ex-defense minister and former head of the National Bank took a similar image niche: on the one hand, successful professionals in their fields, on the other - a relatively young politician with a low antireytigom (fair - and the low popularity, too). Each of them in the campaign in its favor emphasis on the need to update only Anatoly Gritsenko more attention to system-wide changes, and Sergei Tigipko - the economic crisis. This distribution is easily explained by the preferences of professional experience and has played into the hands of the candidates - in their fields, they look convincing. But even that credibility is unlikely to help them win significant electoral support.
Against 'new blood' in most cases, plays some inconspicuous Image (Simply put - the absence of congenital or carefully grown charisma) and the non-unique offer. The main thing is that now can offer these characters (especially Anatoly Gritsenko) - this is, indeed, their political youth and conditional nezaangazhirovannost. The problem is that the same niche with a much more successful mastering Arsenii Yatseniuk. Of course, judging by the mood of voters, the need to significantly upgrade the political elite is indeed overdue. But the difficulty is that the likelihood of this update through the presidential elections is still low. Therefore, careful emphasis on the new rules may yield significant dividends except in the following parliamentary. For that, perhaps, the candidates and are struggling.
As in the case of the elders for many mladopolitikov presidential elections - a way to recall, but not so much about yourself, how many of the potential power that they can take the lead. By the way, the concept of there is such a party can explain the application for participation in the campaigns of many candidates who were due to low popularity is hard to believe even the hunters on someone else's electorate - for example, about his ambition had head Lyudmila Suprun NDP. The main thing is that the party actually looked convincing, but the main innovation This raises significant difficulties - and Sergei Tigipko, and Anatoliy Gritsenko, and, by the way, Arseny Yatseniuk, has done too noticeable emphasis on personal image, to the detriment of a large virtual collective. But, on the one hand, the extent of presidential elections, it seems logical (plus you can try to nip disillusioned electorate with strong rivals). On the other - vozhdizm Ukrainian politicum not repealed, even though many in the words of the dream. And a successful promotion is gaining momentum in the campaign can provide a good foundation for the future: if you are not worthy of participation in the next parliamentary, then at least to increase the relevance of a possible freezing with strong rivals. To this can be solved and neblestyaschy final result - a few months a permanent presence in the information area of the face.
Jewelry List
distribution of the above-mentioned groups were the functional signs: one must be in the campaign to recall me, other - to work for the benefit created or established parties. Representatives of the third category, in most cases, focused on achieving the same objectives. The main difference - the convincing victory over the bright image of the tasks assigned.
In fact Natalia Vitrenko can be safely considered to elders - what the elections will cost without a primary progressive sotsialistki. But the camp of fellow Natalia sharply distinguished, firstly, the low average and the overall popularity of the scandalous way. The rhetoric with which the leader PSPU go to elections, is known in advance: to live is not just a new (for many insist), but fundamentally in a different way - not the oligarchs and NATO, but with the Russian language and a single economic space. Or, as stated in the statement of the party congress: Ukraine will be able to save the president, which radically change the course of domestic and foreign policy, bring order to the country and protect people from the impending social upheaval. Because of the low chances of success in the relevant election as leader and the party, the main role of Natalia Vitrenko would rather shock the information space, than the salvation of onogo.
Similarly, the previous example, another party to the election of the category race decoration could rightly be assigned to another group. The main objective of Oleg Tyagnyboka as his colleagues in the camp of young politicians, is the popularization of the native political forces. But, as in the case of Natalia Vitrenko, a hallmark of the leader of Freedom is very ambiguous image. While the basic unique offer Oleg Yaroslavovich generally neprintsipialno different from other innovators, the individual pravoradikalnye details deservedly attracted the attention of the general public. By the way, the scandalous image of the main svobodovtsa can be substantially corrected it during the presidential campaign. Base label young politics - nationalist, a label that has long and firmly glued. And Parliamentary Future of Freedom , had already shown a relatively good result, is largely dependent on what the rate will be made during the presidential election. If Oleg Tyagnyboku be able to demonstrate to the entire Ukrainian nationalism with a human face - the chances of his political strength of getting into the next convocation HoAM significantly increased. And if not - in any case, race would Neskuchnyi, especially in the case of debate with ideological opponents.
third notable ornament campaign, you can safely take showed unexpected independence Innu Bogoslovsky. In doing so, its role is significantly different from the neighbors on a group of tasks. Inna Germanovna participation in elections can be safely described as pure art: in contrast to those of Natalia Vitrenko and the Oleh Tyagnyboka it has no clear ideological basis or stock devoted electorate. Consequently, nothing fundamentally new voters will not be invited. But perhaps this is not required. In stock from ex-regionalki media promoted and generally rhetorical talents, which will automatically make a considerable recovery in the pre boredom. According to many political analysts, the main role of Inna Theological in the coming months will selflessly оппонирование current Prime - exercise, which in politics always been a great enthusiasm, but in light of the intention to hold elections cheap and angrily it will definitely be in demand.
listed persons outside the list of potential presidential campaign is not limited. The closer the election, the more will appear willing to see their name in the bulletin. And not all of minority are strictly functional technical candidates. The specifics of upcoming elections is likely to be just in the likeness of the review before the next parliamentary jerks. Consequently, in the near future a list of participants can be markedly increased not only by the will of the warring megashtabov. On the one hand, may want to recall a time-tested experience of policies, such as Boris Tarasyuk and Yuriy Kostenko (rumors about the latter already popolzli). On the other - it is possible revival in the advertising project and a new generation of politicians, if they allow the conscience of the party. For example, would have seemed logical to attempt to take part from Yuriy Lutsenko and Vyacheslav Kirilenko, a single center to nominate someone to recall its existence is vital, but now attractive speakers at the party in a big deficit. Finally, a third party coming campaign could be very bright in terms of overall scandalous some participants and the desire to make a show of compromising others. And then the true pearl of the third group would be a worthy Leonid Chernovetskiy that strategic reserve beloved grandmother could not worse … So it turns out that the list of possible candidates to be very densely populated. But the losers among the outsiders, given the different objectives, may be not so much: for many in the current election was not the most important victory of …
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