Oil and the United States indicate to the south, the Russian market is also needed vacation

The first day to shorts marked a significant decline in the major indexes, which do not keep significant levels of support. The negative open trades in the United States led the MICEX index to the minimum of the day at the closing session. After the end of the trading in the domestic market situation in external sites has changed for the worse, so today at the opening pressure bears on the market will continue. MICEX index may test support near-term 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the underlying at the level of 1055 points. Further movement will be determined by external signals, in particular, futures on indices of the United States, which before the start of trades falling. SP 500, the sample prior to the level of support in the area of the lower lateral border of the corridor - 930 points, continued downward movement of the support in the region of 900 points. Oil prices continue to decline under the pressure of growing dollar. While the reasons for the rebound on the Russian stock market is not, therefore, downward movement may continue during the current session.

Mass of macroeconomic statistics, expected today, could help the U.S. index to determine the further direction of movement. The preponderance of negative data, in particular, the housing market and for industrial production in the United States could lead to the opening of the major U.S. indices to the nearest support. In the opposite case indices to return to the usual outset by deploying top Russianindices close to the closing of tenders.

At the end of the session in the United States major U.S. indexes closed in a significant minus. Even before the start of the trading day investors disappointed with the negative makrostatistika. The dramatic increase in the dollar also led to a correction in commodity areas, which adversely affected the favorite last week - shares of commodity companies. Brazil's Bovespa was also seriously prosel (-2.85%), which partly confirms the absence of major investors in emerging markets. At the Asian-dominated areas is also pessimistic sentiment, which is a negative factor to start bidding for domestic markets.

Shares of Russian oil and gas sector will continue to remain under pressure from the negative sentiment in commodity areas where the prices of black gold again declining. Oil brand Brent kept below $ 70 a barrel. At the evening session on FORTS, most contracts for the paper neftyanki fell, for example, a contract for the shares of Rosneft dropped in price on 0,44%. Technically, the shares closed below the prior 21-day moving average, opening the potential for continued decline to a level of 50%-term correction of Fibonacci, lies in the vicinity of 184 rubles. When you hold this level I recommend to open short positions in order to 194 rubles.

In the course of the trading in shares of U.S. banks looked at the market, but the Russian banking sector, led by Sberbank, demonstrated a strong rally, may, as before, enter the list of outsiders, as evidenced by the decline and contracts for the evening session on FORTS : a contract for shares of Sberbank lost 1.73%, the contract for VTB shares - 1.25%. The next strong support for the securities VTB lies in an area of 200-day moving average (3.65 kopeck .).

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The forecasts of analysts: Today, shares of Russian oil and gas sector will continue to remain under pressure
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Against a background of declining prices for black gold worse than the market today may look like the paper oil and gas sector



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