Strong movement in Russia”s stock market today is not worth waiting

starts the day a slight decrease and expect poor performance the day

Yesterday, U.S. stock indexes declined moderately. Disappointing forecasts from the leader of the pharmaceutical industry, Pfizer”s put pressure on the position of the corresponding segment of the shares. Not very pleased with the players and published data on activity in the U.S. service sector in January, which showed an increase to 50.5, which is slightly not have lasted up to analysts” forecasts. But these were formal occasions for a small cooling of the market after two days of strong growth. I think that the Friday before the release of data on the labor market, American indexes remain moderately optimistic.

Oil prices last week came under pressure of three factors: the strong dollar (EUR /USD 1,3890); decline in recycling and reducing oil consumption in the United States, as well as descendants of the dynamics on the stock exchanges. Nevertheless, the March futures quotes on a mixture of Brent Thursday morning retain positions above $ 75/barr. Rate single European currency is again under pressure due to the fact that the thrust of investors to the risk remains low, around aggravate the situation around the placement of government securities in Portugal. The market will also wait for a decision today on monetary policy from the ECB and the Bank of England, and the January report on the U.S. labor market tomorrow. Today, Asian stock markets not seen a single motion dynamics of stock indices, not moving away from zero in both parties more than a percentage. Not pleased with today”s statistics from New Zealand, where unemployment rose to 4 square. to 7,3%, reaching a 16-year high.

opening of trading on Russia”s stock market on Thursday we will see a moderate decrease in the zone against a background of falling of quotations of oil prices and futures on U.S. indices (SP -0,2%). I believe a strong movement in our stock market today should not wait. However, in the morning, our stock market indices can go from the opening levels down even half a percentage point. MICEX afternoon may fall to a mark of 1425-20 points where you can try to stand in a small speculative buying of securities of Gazprom and Sberbank.

In the 15-00 waiting for the decision of the Bank of England discount rate (forecast: 0.5%) and the target level of purchases of assets (forecast: 200 billion pounds). 15-45 In its decision on the rate of the ECB will announce (forecast: 1,00%). In 16-30 watching the speech of the ECB JC Trichet. At the same time in the U.S. went weekly data applications for benefits b /d. In the 18-00 waiting for the December data on production orders in the U.S. (estimate: 0,9 %).&ae13mp;lt;/td>

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European indexes fell on Wednesday for the first time in 3 days
Forex - results of the day
Analysts” forecasts: domestic exchanges will occur near yesterday”s levels or slightly lower
In the first half of the day in anticipation of the publication of key rates of the Bank of England and the ECB”s strong movement in Russia market unlikely
Russia”s stock market after a neutral-negative opening can keep downward momentum
Influence the course of trading today, the U.S. will have statistics on the labor market, as well as data on industrial orders
Domestic indices today will be under pressure from speculative sales, which could cost them about 1% of the capitalization
In the short term “bulls” will be important to defend the support at 1,430 points on the MICEX



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