Analytical prediction of common stock of certain blue chip on 15-17 June 2009.

This prediction is based solely on technical analysis of price charts and indicators, and can be used as part of your decision-making system. Regardless of the following conclusions regarding the purchase or sale of shares always remember:

1. Before leaving the important macro-and microeconomic statistics in the United States are best kept out of the market, if you are not, of course, portfolio investors. If these statistics are consistent with the findings of technical analysis, the courage to fight, do not forget about the foot.

The following statistics are published in the U.S. this week (Moscow time):

16 June

16:30 Producer Price Index

16:30 Number of construction of houses

17:15 Industrial Production

17 June

16:30 Consumer Price Index

16:30 Core Consumer Price Index

18:30 Oil (absolute value)

18:30 Oil per week (change)

18 June

16:30 Number of applications for unemployment benefits

18:00 index of leading indicators

2. Before leaving the financial statements of companies issuing better stay away from the market, except where this information is known to you before the official release.

brief overview of the week

Last week was marked by small changes in the boundaries of the MICEX index 1100-1150 items and the relatively small volume of trades.

movement index passes through a rising channel. I look forward to that next week June 15-19 index down to the bottom line of channels and will test it on the sample. Be careful: 15 June FSFR allowed to unsecured transactions, therefore, do not open long positions at the lower limit of the channel is not secure itself a protective stop at the level of the order of 1000 points. Something will happen this week …

Prognoz on ordinary shares Sberbank

All days of the week indicated a small volume of trades, and this suggests that the current level of prices does not receive support from the majority of traders and increases the likelihood of correction.

Value pricing is in the upper half of the rising channel. At next week 15-19 June, forward movement of the prices down to the area of 45 rubles. Average ascending line of the channel will try to make a line of support. Perhaps even that the price increase to 50-52 rubles, but this will be the last breath before a large correction. When you breakdown the middle line of the rising channel, bear, with a view to 38-40 rubles.

forecast for ordinary shares of Gazprom

After the break May 5, the median line the rising price of feed is in the upper part of it. Last week I was expecting the price movement down to the area of 165-170 rubles, but high oil prices have contributed even slightly increase the cost of shares. I hold my opinion and I believe that in the week 15-19 June, will test an average price of an ascending line in the channel region 165 rubles. Before that happens, prices may increase to 190 rubles. Use this opportunity to open short positions

Prognoz on ordinary shares Lukoil

As with most blue chip stock price Lukoil moves within an ascending channel, but all one day ends and the next week you need to exercise increased b (h) productivity in and out of long transactions, so far as day, when the trend change in the downstream.

I suppose that next week 15-19 June, the value of Lukoil shares will go down in the area of 1550-1600 rubles. Raising prices to the upper boundary of the ascending channel use, as an opportunity to open short positions.

Prognoz on ordinary shares GMK Norilsk Nickel

Last week, shares Nornikelya looked better than most chips, added to the price and raised to the level of 3500 rubles. But this increase is likely to held in the correction after a significant reduction in price from 2 to 5 June.

tend to assume that the probability of downward movement of prices higher than the top, so if the price increase to the upper border of the channel, bear.

Mortgage cover
Deputies have increased funding for a 100 million
Russian stock indexes falling more than 3%
The forecasts of analysts: The possibility of «shorts» may be another reason for the reduction of quotations on the Russian stock market
The forecast movement of indices RTS, MICEX and the SP 500, based on an analysis of daily data at the closing session of the previous trading day
Given that the dollar continues to strengthen its advantage, the short-term outlook for precious metals are negatively
Worse than the market today will be the dynamics of the shares of commodity companies, probably continued fixation profit in shares of banks
If the index MICEX not leave items below 1040-1050, the maximum possible repetition
Today's trading session will be held under the banner of bears, which contributes to adverse external background